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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+2.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+1.19vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+0.83vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.15+1.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55-0.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-1.01vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.96-3.03vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.65vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.36-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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3.19Harvard University2.490.2%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University2.050.2%1st Place
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5.3Middlebury College1.150.1%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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4.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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3.97Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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8.35Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.54Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Bacon | 22.5% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 21.5% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 15.5% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 12.7% | 1.4% |
| William Bloxham | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Cali Warner | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 8.7% | 1.4% |
| Philip Koch | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Earl Lin | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 18.4% | 69.0% |
| William Gomez | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 46.1% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.