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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+2.33vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.05+1.97vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.49+0.04vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96-0.13vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55-0.43vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-1.05vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.36+0.56vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.15-3.62vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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3.97Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.04Harvard University2.490.2%1st Place
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3.87Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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7.56Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.38Middlebury College1.150.1%1st Place
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8.34Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Bacon | 20.6% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 12.2% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 25.0% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Koch | 15.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| William Bloxham | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Cali Warner | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| William Gomez | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 11.4% | 46.3% | 26.8% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 23.6% | 13.0% | 2.8% |
| Earl Lin | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 20.8% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.