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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+0.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.75-0.35vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+1.19vs Predicted
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4Auburn University-0.99+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.86+0.11vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92North Carolina State University1.4035.8%1st Place
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1.65College of Charleston1.7551.4%1st Place
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4.19Georgia Institute of Technology-0.943.4%1st Place
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4.29Auburn University-0.993.4%1st Place
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5.11University of Georgia-1.861.5%1st Place
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3.84The Citadel-0.754.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 35.8% | 42.6% | 16.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Diego Carvajal | 51.4% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 3.4% | 5.5% | 21.0% | 25.8% | 27.5% | 16.9% |
| William Rux | 3.4% | 5.2% | 18.0% | 25.4% | 28.9% | 19.1% |
| Edward Ryan | 1.5% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 53.6% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 4.6% | 9.3% | 25.8% | 28.1% | 22.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.