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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.55+3.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+1.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39+1.80vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96-0.39vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05-1.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.49-1.48vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.15-1.80vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.36-0.53vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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3.61Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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3.46Northeastern University2.050.2%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.2Middlebury College1.150.1%1st Place
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7.47Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.3Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bloxham | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Bacon | 20.9% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cali Warner | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Philip Koch | 17.5% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 20.8% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Julia Lord | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 7.1% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 2.1% |
| William Gomez | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 43.7% | 27.2% |
| Earl Lin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 20.5% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.