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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.96+2.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+1.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.55+1.71vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.36+3.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-0.16vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.15-0.64vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05-4.21vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.49-5.99vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.51Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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5.36Middlebury College1.150.1%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University2.050.2%1st Place
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3.01Harvard University2.490.3%1st Place
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8.34Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Koch | 14.2% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 17.1% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| William Bloxham | 9.5% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| William Gomez | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 43.1% | 27.2% |
| Cali Warner | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 9.2% | 1.4% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 12.2% | 1.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 16.1% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 27.5% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 20.7% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.