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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+0.63vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.40-0.07vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+1.16vs Predicted
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4Auburn University-0.99+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.86+0.14vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63College of Charleston1.7551.5%1st Place
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1.93North Carolina State University1.4034.7%1st Place
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4.16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.944.0%1st Place
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4.25Auburn University-0.993.3%1st Place
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5.14University of Georgia-1.861.7%1st Place
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3.88The Citadel-0.754.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diego Carvajal | 51.5% | 35.3% | 11.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Robert Chase | 34.7% | 43.7% | 16.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Lauren Mellinger | 4.0% | 6.1% | 18.2% | 29.1% | 26.5% | 16.2% |
William Rux | 3.3% | 5.2% | 20.0% | 24.0% | 29.2% | 18.2% |
Edward Ryan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 55.4% |
Malcolm McAlister | 4.9% | 7.7% | 25.4% | 29.0% | 22.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.