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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+4.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+4.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+1.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+0.32vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29+3.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19+2.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+0.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82+2.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.61-2.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.04-4.30vs Predicted
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12Bentley University1.82-1.12vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.69-5.03vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy2.03-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.96vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.45-7.34vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.32Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.79Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.01Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.88Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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10.29Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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15.96University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.66Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.87University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Jesse Thomas | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Marcos Darcy | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 32.8% | 53.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 39.4% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.