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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.58vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.47+2.42vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+1.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.61-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.31+6.23vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.10+1.26vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-0.41+0.98vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.87+2.01vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.52-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.24-2.79vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-1.52+1.08vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.510.00vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.35vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-1.42-2.30vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.67-2.19vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-7.98vs Predicted
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19Florida State University-2.05-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9910.3%1st Place
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4.42San Diego State University1.4714.8%1st Place
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4.44North Carolina State University1.5315.8%1st Place
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3.84Roger Williams University1.6119.7%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida-0.311.8%1st Place
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7.86Hampton University0.725.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Michigan0.104.0%1st Place
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5.62Jacksonville University0.8410.5%1st Place
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9.98University of South Carolina-0.412.3%1st Place
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12.01Christopher Newport University-0.871.7%1st Place
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10.79Clemson University-0.523.2%1st Place
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9.21University of North Carolina-0.243.5%1st Place
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14.08The Citadel-1.520.9%1st Place
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14.0Embry-Riddle University-1.510.9%1st Place
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14.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
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13.7University of Florida-1.420.9%1st Place
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14.81University of Central Florida-1.670.5%1st Place
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10.02Florida Institute of Technology-0.483.0%1st Place
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15.5Florida State University-2.050.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 14.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 19.7% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Walter Roou | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| William Avery | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.2% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 17.5% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.