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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+4.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+3.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.19+6.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+6.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65-0.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.23vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69+0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.61-0.08vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.36+0.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.04-3.46vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-1.66vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.96-5.15vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy2.03-2.72vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.45-5.22vs Predicted
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15Bentley University1.82-4.19vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.04vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.76Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.61Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.14Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.34Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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10.28Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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8.78Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.81Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.04University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.88University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 17.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 33.0% | 54.6% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 41.3% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.