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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.56+1.10vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+0.24vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.82vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.97+0.47vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-0.15vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Pittsburgh0.5633.4%1st Place
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2.24Penn State Behrend0.4129.8%1st Place
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2.18Rochester Institute of Technology0.4930.8%1st Place
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4.47Syracuse University-1.972.8%1st Place
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4.85Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.351.9%1st Place
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5.16Unknown School-2.681.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeway Case | 33.4% | 31.3% | 28.4% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 29.8% | 29.8% | 28.8% | 10.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 30.8% | 30.9% | 28.9% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Taft | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 34.8% | 33.6% | 18.2% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 24.3% | 36.4% | 31.2% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 16.6% | 26.6% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.