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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.56+1.09vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.19vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.97+1.52vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend0.41-1.74vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-0.19vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Pittsburgh0.5634.5%1st Place
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2.19Rochester Institute of Technology0.4930.9%1st Place
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4.52Syracuse University-1.972.5%1st Place
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2.26Penn State Behrend0.4128.6%1st Place
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4.81Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.352.1%1st Place
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5.12Unknown School-2.681.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeway Case | 34.5% | 31.1% | 26.1% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 30.9% | 30.8% | 28.4% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Taft | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 33.1% | 33.6% | 20.2% |
| Anthony Farrar | 28.6% | 30.1% | 29.7% | 10.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 23.8% | 35.2% | 31.2% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 17.3% | 27.5% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.