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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+3.05vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+6.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+4.68vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03+4.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+0.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65-2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69-0.32vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-3.38vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.61-1.97vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-1.87vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82-1.13vs Predicted
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13Bentley University1.82-1.99vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.96-7.04vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.04vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.23Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.68Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.99Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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4.62Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.68Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.87Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.01Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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16.04University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.85University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Colby Vickerson | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 33.2% | 53.8% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 40.1% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.