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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+5.72vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+3.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+5.61vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03+4.93vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.61+2.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36+2.00vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69-0.40vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.45-0.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-5.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-5.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82-1.21vs Predicted
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13Bentley University1.82-1.98vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.29-4.63vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.04-8.44vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.06vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.33Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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9.93Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.89Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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4.62Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.27Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.79Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.02Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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16.06University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.84University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 33.5% | 54.0% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 39.5% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.