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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.56+1.15vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.16vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.41-0.79vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.97+0.54vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-0.17vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Pittsburgh0.5632.1%1st Place
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2.16Rochester Institute of Technology0.4931.8%1st Place
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2.21Penn State Behrend0.4130.2%1st Place
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4.54Syracuse University-1.972.5%1st Place
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4.83Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.352.2%1st Place
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5.11Unknown School-2.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeway Case | 32.1% | 30.6% | 28.2% | 8.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 31.8% | 30.8% | 28.3% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 30.2% | 30.1% | 29.1% | 9.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Taft | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 34.0% | 33.2% | 20.8% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 22.4% | 34.6% | 32.9% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 18.3% | 28.8% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.