← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.29+8.11vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.48+3.19vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.65+1.78vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.21vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.69+2.81vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy2.03+4.38vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.38-1.48vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.82+2.67vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.19+0.88vs Predicted
-
10Bentley University1.82+0.89vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.96-3.88vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.61-3.75vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.36-3.78vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.49-8.66vs Predicted
-
15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.97vs Predicted
-
16Yale University2.45-7.20vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.11Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
5.19Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
4.78Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.81Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
10.38Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
-
5.52Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.67Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.88University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
10.89Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
-
7.12Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
8.25Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
-
9.22Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
5.34Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
15.97University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.8Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
15.87University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jensen | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 14.0% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 5.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Colby Vickerson | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 33.0% | 52.7% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 39.0% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.