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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.56+1.06vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+0.24vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.80vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.97+0.50vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-0.14vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Pittsburgh0.5635.9%1st Place
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2.24Penn State Behrend0.4128.5%1st Place
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2.2Rochester Institute of Technology0.4930.3%1st Place
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4.5Syracuse University-1.972.3%1st Place
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4.86Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.351.7%1st Place
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5.14Unknown School-2.681.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeway Case | 35.9% | 30.8% | 25.4% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 28.5% | 30.9% | 30.6% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Cole Bender | 30.3% | 30.2% | 30.2% | 8.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elliot Taft | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 34.8% | 34.6% | 18.2% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 24.9% | 31.6% | 34.5% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 16.9% | 30.3% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.