← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Pittsburgh0.56-0.15vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-1.97+1.36vs Predicted
-
4Penn State Behrend-0.80-0.87vs Predicted
-
5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-0.27vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-2.68-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9Rochester Institute of Technology0.4939.6%1st Place
-
1.85University of Pittsburgh0.5641.7%1st Place
-
4.36Syracuse University-1.972.9%1st Place
-
3.13Penn State Behrend-0.8011.8%1st Place
-
4.73Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.352.1%1st Place
-
5.04Unknown School-2.681.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 39.6% | 37.6% | 17.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ridgeway Case | 41.7% | 37.0% | 17.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Taft | 2.9% | 4.6% | 13.8% | 30.3% | 28.8% | 19.6% |
| Corey Smith | 11.8% | 14.8% | 36.3% | 24.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 2.1% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 21.6% | 31.6% | 31.9% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.8% | 2.0% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 28.2% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.