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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+8.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+2.27vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+5.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+0.12vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.36+3.24vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy2.03+3.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82+2.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.96-1.89vs Predicted
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10Bentley University1.82+0.88vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-5.35vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.45-3.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.61-4.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.65-9.17vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.69-7.08vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.07vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.24Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.28Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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10.69Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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10.88Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.8Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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16.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.86University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 33.5% | 54.5% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 40.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.