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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.56-0.16vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-0.80+0.16vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.97+0.38vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-2.68+0.04vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.35-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Rochester Institute of Technology0.4939.4%1st Place
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1.84University of Pittsburgh0.5643.5%1st Place
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3.16Penn State Behrend-0.809.8%1st Place
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4.38Syracuse University-1.972.9%1st Place
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5.04Unknown School-2.681.5%1st Place
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4.68Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.352.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 39.4% | 37.4% | 17.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ridgeway Case | 43.5% | 34.8% | 17.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Corey Smith | 9.8% | 15.4% | 37.4% | 25.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Elliot Taft | 2.9% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 29.1% | 31.4% | 19.4% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.5% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 26.3% | 47.3% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 2.9% | 3.9% | 9.5% | 21.5% | 30.9% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.