← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University-0.78+1.88vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07+1.31vs Predicted
-
3Penn State Behrend-0.45-0.63vs Predicted
-
4University of Pittsburgh-1.32-0.39vs Predicted
-
5Unknown School-1.64-0.97vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.26-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.88Syracuse University-0.7823.0%1st Place
-
3.31Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0716.4%1st Place
-
2.37Penn State Behrend-0.4534.0%1st Place
-
3.61University of Pittsburgh-1.3211.7%1st Place
-
4.03Unknown School-1.649.8%1st Place
-
4.81Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.265.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ihle | 23.0% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Elliot Tindall | 16.4% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 8.8% |
| Bryce Nill | 34.0% | 26.7% | 19.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Izzy Lewandowski | 11.7% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 13.0% |
| Erin Platz | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 22.5% |
| Olivia Wanat | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.