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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+3.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.85+4.04vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.68+3.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+1.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+0.10vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61-2.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23-0.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.19-3.67vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.81-0.74vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.72+1.31vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.20-0.98vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.81-3.56vs Predicted
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14Bentley University0.92-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.13vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-2.10+0.47vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.18-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.04Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.64Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.06Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.31Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.02Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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11.86Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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16.47University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
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14.24Maine Maritime Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 18.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 17.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 22.0% | 18.9% | 8.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Clarida | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 42.4% | 14.9% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 13.9% | 75.2% |
| Alison Mitchell | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 27.2% | 27.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.