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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.62vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+6.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+0.91vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+1.58vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.53-0.36vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.47-1.55vs Predicted
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70.22+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.42+5.87vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.87+3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.10-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31+0.20vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.41-2.88vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-1.52+0.54vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.38vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-2.05-0.34vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.52-5.94vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-1.51-3.83vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-1.67-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9911.1%1st Place
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8.0Hampton University0.724.2%1st Place
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3.91Roger Williams University1.6119.3%1st Place
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5.58Jacksonville University0.8410.5%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University1.5314.3%1st Place
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4.45San Diego State University1.4715.6%1st Place
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7.870.224.8%1st Place
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13.87University of Florida-1.421.6%1st Place
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12.37Christopher Newport University-0.871.4%1st Place
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8.4University of Michigan0.103.6%1st Place
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11.2University of South Florida-0.311.8%1st Place
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10.06Florida Institute of Technology-0.483.3%1st Place
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10.12University of South Carolina-0.412.7%1st Place
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14.54The Citadel-1.520.8%1st Place
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13.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.2%1st Place
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15.66Florida State University-2.050.6%1st Place
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11.06Clemson University-0.521.6%1st Place
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14.17Embry-Riddle University-1.510.8%1st Place
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14.84University of Central Florida-1.670.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 19.3% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.4% |
| Walter Roou | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Ted Sherman | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 29.6% |
| William Avery | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Rain Hong | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.