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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+3.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+1.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+1.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+1.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+0.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92-1.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.81+1.11vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.92+2.94vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.20+1.03vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.81-1.61vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-5.59vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.72-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-5.88vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.14vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.18-1.77vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-2.10-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.11Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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5.18Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.11Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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11.94Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.41Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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14.23Maine Maritime Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
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16.51University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 18.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Clarida | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Pierre DuPont | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 19.7% | 40.7% | 14.7% |
| Alison Mitchell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 28.7% | 27.2% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 14.2% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.