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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+3.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+4.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+1.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+1.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+1.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81+3.46vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68-0.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92-2.12vs Predicted
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9Bentley University0.92+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-2.05vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.01vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.20-0.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.72-0.72vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.18+0.17vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.81-6.66vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-2.10-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.31Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.12Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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5.2Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.07Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.46Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.91Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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12.28Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.17Maine Maritime Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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16.51University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 16.8% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Clarida | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Alison Mitchell | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 28.0% | 29.0% | 6.5% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 42.1% | 14.4% |
| Pierre DuPont | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 13.3% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.