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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+2.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+1.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.85+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.41+7.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76-0.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.80vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.72+3.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.51+3.24vs Predicted
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10Bentley University0.92+0.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.81-2.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.11-4.44vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.18+0.71vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.20-3.70vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-8.98vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-2.10-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.64Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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11.32Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.24Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.97Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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8.56Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University2.110.1%1st Place
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13.71Maine Maritime Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.02Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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13.93University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.46University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 21.1% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 17.6% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Puk | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Olsen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alison Mitchell | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 26.6% | 8.1% |
| Matthew Clarida | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Brown | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 28.6% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.