← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.61+2.62vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.52+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.76+2.77vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University0.72+7.52vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.19-0.48vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University0.92+5.12vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.81+1.41vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.85-2.56vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.51+3.18vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy-0.18+3.68vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.68-4.97vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.11-4.45vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University1.20-2.73vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.41-1.57vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-8.80vs Predicted
-
16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-2.05vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire-2.10-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
-
3.88Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
-
5.77Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
11.52Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.52Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
11.12Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.41Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
-
5.44Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
12.18Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
-
13.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
-
6.03Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.55Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.27Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
-
12.43University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
-
6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
13.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
-
16.44University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 20.6% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 17.5% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Olsen | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Alison Mitchell | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 7.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Clarida | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Luke Puk | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 2.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Brown | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 27.0% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 10.8% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.