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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.52vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20+0.22vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.78-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.32-0.33vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.26-0.35vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.70-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Penn State Behrend-0.4527.3%1st Place
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2.22Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2033.8%1st Place
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2.88Syracuse University-0.7820.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Pittsburgh-1.3210.8%1st Place
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4.65Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.264.7%1st Place
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5.07Unknown School-2.703.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 27.3% | 26.1% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Jonah Nelson | 33.8% | 29.5% | 22.1% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Henry Ihle | 20.2% | 21.5% | 24.1% | 20.6% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Izzy Lewandowski | 10.8% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 26.9% | 23.6% | 9.0% |
| Olivia Wanat | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 32.9% | 33.8% |
| Walter Kivala | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.