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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.78+1.92vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-0.45+0.51vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20-0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.32-0.45vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.26-0.34vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.70-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Syracuse University-0.7819.7%1st Place
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2.51Penn State Behrend-0.4527.6%1st Place
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2.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2033.4%1st Place
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3.55University of Pittsburgh-1.3212.3%1st Place
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4.66Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.264.8%1st Place
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5.1Unknown School-2.702.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ihle | 19.7% | 20.9% | 24.2% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 2.8% |
| Bryce Nill | 27.6% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Jonah Nelson | 33.4% | 29.4% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Izzy Lewandowski | 12.3% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 26.5% | 21.1% | 8.5% |
| Olivia Wanat | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 15.7% | 32.8% | 33.4% |
| Walter Kivala | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 23.8% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.