← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.76+4.68vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.19+2.63vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.61+0.70vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.52-0.03vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.05vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.20+4.34vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.85-1.42vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.81+0.33vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.72+2.66vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy-0.18+3.68vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.68-4.94vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.11-4.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.41-0.66vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.51-1.83vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University0.92-4.11vs Predicted
-
16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-2.05vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire-2.10-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.63Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
3.7Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
-
3.97Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
-
6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
10.34Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
-
5.58Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.33Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
-
11.66Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
-
13.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
-
6.06Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.55Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
-
12.17Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
-
10.89Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
-
13.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
-
16.44University of New Hampshire-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 18.3% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 19.3% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Clarida | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Alison Mitchell | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 24.8% | 6.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Puk | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Grace Olsen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Paige Brown | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 21.2% | 27.4% | 8.3% |
| Elizabeth Resnick | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 10.0% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.