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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.51vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.78+0.89vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.32-0.40vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.26-0.29vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.70-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Penn State Behrend-0.4526.4%1st Place
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2.89Syracuse University-0.7819.7%1st Place
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2.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2035.6%1st Place
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3.6University of Pittsburgh-1.3211.3%1st Place
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4.71Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.264.3%1st Place
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5.08Unknown School-2.702.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 26.4% | 28.1% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Henry Ihle | 19.7% | 20.8% | 24.9% | 22.1% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Jonah Nelson | 35.6% | 28.3% | 21.1% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Izzy Lewandowski | 11.3% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 27.7% | 20.7% | 8.8% |
| Olivia Wanat | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 34.6% | 33.8% |
| Walter Kivala | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 24.6% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.