Race 1 - jack-boehringer-52 | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.6

Avg Position Diff

6

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.16

+2.56

vs Predicted
2

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

1.89

+2.23

vs Predicted
3

Hayden Earl & Gabbi DelBello

Cornell University

2.38

+0.04

vs Predicted
4

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

2.51

-1.02

vs Predicted
5

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

1.54

-0.81

vs Predicted
6

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.42

-3.00

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.56

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.16

15.2%

1st Place
4.23

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

1.89

8.8%

1st Place
3.04

Hayden Earl & Gabbi DelBello

Cornell University

2.38

21.2%

1st Place
2.98

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

2.51

23.9%

1st Place
4.19

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

1.54

9.6%

1st Place
3.0

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.42

21.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6
Will Murray	15.2%	15.2%	17.0%	18.6%	18.9%	15.2%
Kenneth Corsig	8.8%	10.8%	12.4%	16.1%	19.9%	32.0%
Hayden Earl	21.2%	20.6%	19.8%	17.1%	13.6%	7.6%
Benton Amthor	23.9%	20.2%	18.1%	17.6%	12.1%	8.0%
Lucas Sawin	9.6%	11.3%	12.2%	14.4%	22.7%	29.8%
Jordan Bruce	21.1%	21.9%	20.5%	16.1%	13.0%	7.4%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.