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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.00vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-0.79vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0SUNY Maritime College2.5122.6%1st Place
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3.0Cornell University2.3822.4%1st Place
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2.98University of Pennsylvania2.4222.0%1st Place
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3.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1615.2%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.548.6%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University1.899.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benton Amthor | 22.6% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 6.9% |
Hayden Earl | 22.4% | 20.5% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 7.0% |
Jordan Bruce | 22.0% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 7.1% |
Will Murray | 15.2% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
Lucas Sawin | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 30.8% |
Kenneth Corsig | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.