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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+1.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+0.20vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-1.90vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93SUNY Maritime College2.5122.4%1st Place
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2.95University of Pennsylvania2.4223.2%1st Place
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4.21Fordham University1.898.8%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.5410.2%1st Place
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3.1Cornell University2.3821.6%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1613.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 22.4% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 23.2% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 6.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 30.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 31.4% |
| Hayden Earl | 21.6% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Will Murray | 13.9% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.