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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.25vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19+2.15vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.35+6.97vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+3.20vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95+2.79vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71-0.30vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45-0.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.51-1.92vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+0.67vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.65-4.31vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.55+0.41vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University0.75-1.19vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.75-5.26vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.73vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.31-1.57vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-0.75-1.67vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.30-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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9.97Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.2Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.79Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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5.7Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.33Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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9.67Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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5.69Fordham University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.41Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.81Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.74Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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14.43Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Delaware-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.18Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 19.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Garber | 16.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Austin Powers | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Nunn | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 6.7% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 12.2% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 25.6% | 27.4% |
| Teddy Straus | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 47.1% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.