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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.68+4.48vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.94+3.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.50+3.62vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+5.92vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78+4.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.60-0.34vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.27+4.33vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.45-3.16vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.18-3.19vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-4.59vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.41-2.68vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.63vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.64-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Cornell University1.6811.8%1st Place
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5.37Fordham University1.9412.8%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University1.508.9%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.9%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.784.5%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.558.6%1st Place
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6.66University of Pennsylvania1.608.8%1st Place
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12.33SUNY Maritime College-0.271.7%1st Place
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6.69University of Pennsylvania1.728.2%1st Place
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6.84University of Pennsylvania1.458.8%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University1.186.3%1st Place
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7.41Palm Beach Atlantic University1.266.7%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.412.6%1st Place
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9.37SUNY Maritime College0.764.0%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University0.643.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Brook Wood | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Collin Porter | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Gavula | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 41.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Will Donovan | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Green | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Cooper Delbridge | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% |
| John Vail | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| Griffin Sisk | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.