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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.99vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+1.09vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+1.20vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-0.79vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Pennsylvania2.4221.9%1st Place
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3.09Cornell University2.3820.3%1st Place
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4.2Fordham University1.899.2%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.9%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.549.0%1st Place
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2.96SUNY Maritime College2.5124.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 21.9% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 6.3% |
| Hayden Earl | 20.3% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 8.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 9.2% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 31.1% |
| Will Murray | 14.9% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 30.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 24.6% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.