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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.68+4.43vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.41+8.41vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.86vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.60+2.78vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.76+4.18vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.78+3.10vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.18+0.88vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.50-1.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-2.47vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.07vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-3.68vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94-6.70vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.64-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.17vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Cornell University1.6813.2%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.412.8%1st Place
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6.86University of Pennsylvania1.457.5%1st Place
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6.78University of Pennsylvania1.607.8%1st Place
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9.18SUNY Maritime College0.764.7%1st Place
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9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.784.1%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University1.185.3%1st Place
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6.69Fordham University1.509.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.559.6%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.6%1st Place
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7.32Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.0%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University1.9412.8%1st Place
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9.47Fordham University0.643.9%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania1.728.0%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Maritime College-0.270.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Delbridge | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| John Vail | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Collin Porter | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Will Donovan | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Connor Bennett | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brook Wood | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% |
| Thomas Green | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Sisk | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.