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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+5.02vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+7.35vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+4.05vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.36vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.71+0.35vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95+2.02vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19-3.83vs Predicted
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9Penn State University1.35+0.70vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.65-4.16vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University0.75+0.71vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.09+1.51vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.75+2.24vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.75-5.32vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.85vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-9.71vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.31-2.62vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.30-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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9.35Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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7.05Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.35Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.02Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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4.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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9.7Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.84Fordham University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.71Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.51Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Delaware-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.68Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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6.29Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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14.38Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.16Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Garber | 16.0% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| Teddy Straus | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 46.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 9.6% |
| Eric Siegel | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 23.2% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.