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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-0.89vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Cornell University2.3821.1%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.2%1st Place
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4.25Fordham University1.899.8%1st Place
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3.0University of Pennsylvania2.4222.7%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.5410.3%1st Place
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2.96SUNY Maritime College2.5121.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 21.1% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 8.5% |
| Will Murray | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 16.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 31.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 22.7% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 28.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 21.9% | 20.4% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.