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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19+3.13vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71+3.46vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.65+2.74vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.37vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.45+1.16vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+3.59vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21+0.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.51-2.02vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University1.95-0.95vs Predicted
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11Penn State University1.35-1.17vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.30-1.93vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.75-4.54vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University0.75-2.28vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.09-1.43vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-0.75-0.86vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.31-2.56vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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5.46Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.74Fordham University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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6.16Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.59Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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7.09Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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8.05Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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9.83Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.07Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.46Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.72Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.57Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Delaware-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.44Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Garber | 18.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Austin Powers | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Shanahan | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Press | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 14.0% |
| Teddy Straus | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 19.3% | 45.1% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 24.2% | 24.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.