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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.92vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-0.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-0.84vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Cornell University2.3819.6%1st Place
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2.92University of Pennsylvania2.4222.4%1st Place
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2.98SUNY Maritime College2.5123.2%1st Place
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3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.4%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.5410.4%1st Place
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4.16Fordham University1.899.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 19.6% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 22.4% | 23.1% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 6.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 23.2% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Will Murray | 14.4% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 30.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.