Race 7 - jack-boehringer-52 | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.6

Avg Position Diff

6

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.16

+2.62

vs Predicted
2

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

1.54

+2.15

vs Predicted
3

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.42

-0.02

vs Predicted
4

Hayden Earl & Sophia Mulvania

Cornell University

2.38

-0.92

vs Predicted
5

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

1.89

-0.76

vs Predicted
6

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

2.51

-3.07

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.62

Will Murray & Tess Weber

Hobart and William Smith Colleges

2.16

13.4%

1st Place
4.15

Lucas Sawin & Ellary Boyd

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

1.54

9.6%

1st Place
2.98

Jordan Bruce & Shaanti Choi-Bose

University of Pennsylvania

2.42

23.0%

1st Place
3.08

Hayden Earl & Sophia Mulvania

Cornell University

2.38

20.6%

1st Place
4.24

Kenneth Corsig & Kristen Healy

Fordham University

1.89

9.3%

1st Place
2.93

Benton Amthor & Eva Leggett

SUNY Maritime College

2.51

24.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6
Will Murray	13.4%	16.6%	16.2%	18.7%	18.9%	16.2%
Lucas Sawin	9.6%	10.9%	14.0%	15.9%	20.0%	29.6%
Jordan Bruce	23.0%	21.5%	18.6%	15.6%	14.0%	7.3%
Hayden Earl	20.6%	21.1%	18.4%	18.6%	13.1%	8.4%
Kenneth Corsig	9.3%	9.7%	12.8%	15.6%	20.8%	31.9%
Benton Amthor	24.1%	20.3%	20.1%	15.8%	13.2%	6.6%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.