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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.73vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.61+1.93vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+1.51vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+3.87vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.47-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.10+2.53vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84-1.34vs Predicted
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80.22-0.13vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-1.52+5.37vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.52+0.99vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31+0.38vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.87+0.15vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.56vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.41-3.89vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-1.42-1.21vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.95vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-6.64vs Predicted
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18Florida State University-2.05-2.25vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-1.67-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.999.1%1st Place
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3.93Roger Williams University1.6118.7%1st Place
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4.51North Carolina State University1.5315.3%1st Place
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7.87Hampton University0.725.1%1st Place
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4.53San Diego State University1.4716.4%1st Place
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8.53University of Michigan0.104.4%1st Place
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5.66Jacksonville University0.849.8%1st Place
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7.870.224.5%1st Place
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14.37The Citadel-1.520.8%1st Place
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10.99Clemson University-0.522.9%1st Place
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11.38University of South Florida-0.312.1%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University-0.871.6%1st Place
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13.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.9%1st Place
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10.11University of South Carolina-0.412.2%1st Place
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13.79University of Florida-1.421.1%1st Place
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14.05Embry-Riddle University-1.510.9%1st Place
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10.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.483.0%1st Place
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15.75Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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14.87University of Central Florida-1.670.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 18.7% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 16.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% |
| William Avery | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Walter Roou | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 29.8% |
| Rain Hong | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.