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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+4.96vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19+1.21vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95+3.93vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.45+1.12vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.65-0.19vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21+0.08vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64+0.73vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+0.55vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.35-0.21vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.09+1.53vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.71-7.52vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University0.75-2.26vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.30-4.86vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.31-1.70vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-3.88vs Predicted
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18University of Delaware-0.75-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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7.93Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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6.12Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.08Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.73Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.55Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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9.79Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.53Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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5.48Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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11.74Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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10.14Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.3Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Delaware-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 17.4% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Garber | 16.2% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Shanahan | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 23.2% | 13.9% |
| Charles Nunn | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 25.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 9.1% |
| Teddy Straus | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.