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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.58vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51-1.04vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89-0.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Cornell University2.3821.6%1st Place
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2.95University of Pennsylvania2.4221.8%1st Place
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3.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1614.8%1st Place
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2.96SUNY Maritime College2.5122.6%1st Place
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4.21Fordham University1.8911.1%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.548.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hayden Earl | 21.6% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 8.3% |
Jordan Bruce | 21.8% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
Will Murray | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
Benton Amthor | 22.6% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 7.2% |
Kenneth Corsig | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 31.9% |
Lucas Sawin | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.