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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.83vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.65+3.11vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+2.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.51+0.64vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.19-2.28vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.35+2.42vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University1.95-0.69vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.61+2.38vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.79+1.17vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology1.48-2.25vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-6.09vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64-4.69vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.09-0.98vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University0.75-3.74vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.31-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-4.31vs Predicted
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18University of Delaware-0.75-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.11Fordham University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.53Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.190.2%1st Place
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9.42Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.31Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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11.38Villanova University0.610.0%1st Place
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11.17Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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8.75Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.0%1st Place
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5.91Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.31Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.02Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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11.26Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.93Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Delaware-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 19.9% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Garber | 20.9% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Jackson | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Liam Boyle | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Nicolas Carabelli | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Myers | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 12.4% |
| Courtney Williams | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 24.6% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 8.9% |
| Teddy Straus | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.