Race 4A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Shea Smith 8.5% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 9.3% 7.7% 8.8% 8.2% 6.7% 5.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2%
James Paul 17.4% 14.0% 13.4% 12.2% 10.9% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6% 2.9% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Jonathan Chance 4.8% 6.1% 6.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 6.3% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 7.2% 6.3% 4.9% 1.8%
Oliver Hurwitz 12.5% 13.0% 11.8% 11.8% 9.7% 9.5% 7.8% 6.5% 6.9% 4.1% 2.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 8.1% 8.9% 8.2% 9.8% 7.5% 7.3% 5.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Jack Flores 9.8% 9.6% 9.2% 8.3% 7.3% 9.2% 10.3% 8.5% 7.3% 6.4% 4.8% 4.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Nicholas Hurley 5.2% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 6.9% 7.6% 8.1% 7.7% 9.0% 7.2% 9.0% 7.8% 6.5% 4.0% 1.5%
Sam Bonauto 15.0% 14.3% 13.5% 11.9% 10.0% 8.4% 8.2% 6.7% 4.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Grace Cannon 2.5% 3.6% 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.9% 7.9% 7.9% 9.8% 10.4% 10.5% 9.6% 5.0%
Ryan Potter 4.5% 4.7% 4.2% 4.6% 6.2% 6.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.6% 8.3% 9.5% 8.2% 10.0% 8.5% 4.4%
Adam Strobridge 5.5% 5.7% 5.3% 6.7% 6.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.5% 7.2% 6.8% 4.5% 1.6%
Alex Kitay 3.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 10.0% 12.3% 12.0% 8.8%
Harry Stevenson 1.6% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 2.1% 2.6% 4.4% 3.5% 4.4% 6.6% 8.4% 10.6% 18.5% 29.9%
Lochlann Ludwig 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 7.6% 8.2% 7.7% 10.9% 12.6% 13.6% 12.1%
Sean Lund 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 4.5% 6.4% 7.6% 11.8% 17.3% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.