← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.83vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College1.73+4.91vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.72+4.05vs Predicted
-
4Washington College2.01+2.23vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.24vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.48vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.71+0.03vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-0.09+4.12vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University-0.06+3.41vs Predicted
-
10Villanova University1.21-1.51vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University1.81-4.10vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University-0.320.00vs Predicted
-
14University of Delaware0.40-2.99vs Predicted
-
15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-1.15vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-0.17-3.45vs Predicted
-
17Rutgers University-1.25-1.95vs Predicted
-
18Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
-
6.91Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.05Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
6.23Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
-
3.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
-
3.52U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
-
7.03Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
12.12Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
12.41Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.49Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
-
6.9Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
-
13.0Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.01University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
-
13.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
-
12.55Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
15.05Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
10.31Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.3% | 23.3% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 17.3% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 18.6% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 5.3% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 6.8% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gebb | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 8.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 43.1% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.