← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University1.81+5.57vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.85vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.49vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College1.73+3.02vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.21vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.21+2.69vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+3.19vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.01-1.88vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.71-1.86vs Predicted
-
10Penn State University-0.17+2.50vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.72-4.86vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University-0.06-0.73vs Predicted
-
14University of Delaware0.40-3.05vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University-0.09-2.57vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University-0.32-3.10vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-3.17vs Predicted
-
18Rutgers University-1.25-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.57Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
-
2.85University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
-
3.49U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
-
7.02Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
-
3.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
-
8.69Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
-
10.19Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
-
6.12Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
-
7.14Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
12.5Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
7.14Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
12.27Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
-
12.43Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
12.9Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
-
13.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
-
15.11Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gebb | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.8% | 23.2% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 18.3% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 17.7% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 10.1% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 19.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.