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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.45vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.21+5.51vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71+3.10vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73+1.85vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+1.13vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.06+5.27vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.81-1.32vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.32+4.10vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.09+1.33vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-8.07vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.17-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware0.40-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-1.19vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-9.79vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.25-1.91vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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8.51Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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7.1Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.85Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.27Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.68Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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13.1Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.33Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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12.53Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.21Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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15.09Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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10.28Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 27.7% | 24.6% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 18.9% | 20.7% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Samantha Gebb | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 11.1% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 17.6% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 21.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 42.5% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.