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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.44vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.72+4.01vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.01+1.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.24vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.81-0.13vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09+4.27vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+1.01vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-2.82vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.06+1.23vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College1.73-4.88vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.21-4.46vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-0.24vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.17-2.31vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware0.40-5.08vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.32-3.95vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.25-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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7.01Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.2Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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3.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.87Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.27Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.01Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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7.18Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.23Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.12Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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8.54Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.69Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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13.05Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.13Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.2% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 20.3% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.8% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 4.4% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 19.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 7.9% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 11.4% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.