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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+3.50vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+2.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.73+4.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22-0.46vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College0.87+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.20+0.24vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.78-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.56-0.11vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-3.26vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.22+2.70vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-0.40vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College-0.27-1.43vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.67-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.10-4.58vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College-0.52-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Bowdoin College1.8415.5%1st Place
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4.73Dartmouth College1.7112.6%1st Place
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7.63Northeastern University0.735.1%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University2.2222.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College0.876.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island1.207.1%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College0.787.4%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont0.564.5%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University1.518.5%1st Place
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12.7University of New Hampshire-1.220.7%1st Place
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10.6Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.9%1st Place
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10.57Dartmouth College-0.272.3%1st Place
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11.56Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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9.42University of New Hampshire0.103.6%1st Place
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11.11Bowdoin College-0.521.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 12.6% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 22.0% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Max Sigel | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Wheeler | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 18.0% | 41.4% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Rob Mailley | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 20.6% |
| Sam Harris | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.