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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.78+5.74vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.20+3.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+1.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22-1.48vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.87+1.23vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84-2.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.73-0.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College-0.52+2.19vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.56-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.22+0.68vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.10-3.68vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.67-2.24vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College-0.27-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Bowdoin College0.787.4%1st Place
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4.71Dartmouth College1.7113.5%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island1.208.1%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University1.519.2%1st Place
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3.52Tufts University2.2222.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College0.876.1%1st Place
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4.44Bowdoin College1.8413.5%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University0.734.8%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College-0.521.8%1st Place
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10.5Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.8%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont0.564.8%1st Place
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12.68University of New Hampshire-1.221.1%1st Place
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9.32University of New Hampshire0.102.7%1st Place
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11.76Bates College-0.671.3%1st Place
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10.6Dartmouth College-0.272.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 22.1% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 13.5% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 14.3% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Charles Wheeler | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 39.2% |
| Sam Harris | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| Rob Mailley | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.