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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.82vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+4.03vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.09vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71+1.98vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06+6.40vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09+4.28vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72-2.04vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.01-3.60vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.81-4.33vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.21-3.44vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-2.77vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.17-1.43vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.32-1.95vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-2.29vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware0.40-6.05vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.25-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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7.03Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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3.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.98Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.4Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.28Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.96Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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6.4Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.56Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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10.23Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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12.57Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.05Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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15.11Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Madigan | 21.8% | 21.5% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.8% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 17.0% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 7.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
| Johanna Monro | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 11.0% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.