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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.81+5.67vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.71+4.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.84vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.01+2.25vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73+0.87vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.72+0.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17-4.56vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51-6.15vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.06+2.42vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.32+1.93vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.09+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware0.40-2.13vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-0.25vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-4.70vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.21-7.47vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.17-4.38vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.25-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.96Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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3.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.25Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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6.87Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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2.85University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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12.42Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.93Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.42Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.3Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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8.53Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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12.62Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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15.13Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gebb | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.8% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 19.0% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 30.0% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 19.1% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.