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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+3.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+2.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+5.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.20+1.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22-2.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.78-0.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.73-0.29vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+1.65vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College-0.52+1.26vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College-0.27-0.39vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.87-4.92vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.56-5.09vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.22-1.36vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.67-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Bowdoin College1.8414.1%1st Place
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4.69Dartmouth College1.7113.5%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University1.518.6%1st Place
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9.3University of New Hampshire0.102.9%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island1.208.2%1st Place
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3.53Tufts University2.2223.1%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College0.787.2%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University0.734.3%1st Place
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10.65Maine Maritime Academy-0.312.1%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College-0.521.6%1st Place
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10.61Dartmouth College-0.272.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College0.875.9%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont0.564.0%1st Place
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12.64University of New Hampshire-1.220.8%1st Place
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11.55Bates College-0.671.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Max Sigel | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 23.1% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam Lawless | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.3% |
| Rob Mailley | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Charles Wheeler | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 40.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.