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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.36vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.83vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+8.40vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.06+7.11vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.81+0.91vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.71+0.06vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College1.73-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware0.40+2.09vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-3.01vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.21-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64+0.80vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-7.70vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-4.72vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.17-3.46vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.32-3.99vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.25-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.36U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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12.4Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.11Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.91Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.06Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.93Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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6.99Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.57Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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13.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.3Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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10.28Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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12.54Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.01Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.07Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.5% | 23.0% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 21.0% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 15.5% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 5.4% |
| Samantha Gebb | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 21.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 6.3% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.