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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+2.69vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+2.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+2.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+0.89vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.78+1.84vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.67+5.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.20-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.50-0.35vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.36-0.09vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.73-2.32vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-1.45vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-1.13vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.87-5.57vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College-0.52-2.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.22-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Tufts University2.2221.4%1st Place
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4.46Bowdoin College1.8415.0%1st Place
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5.8Tufts University1.518.9%1st Place
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4.89Dartmouth College1.7111.9%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College0.786.1%1st Place
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11.6Bates College-0.671.2%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island1.208.2%1st Place
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7.65University of Michigan0.505.1%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College0.364.3%1st Place
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7.68Northeastern University0.735.9%1st Place
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9.55University of New Hampshire0.102.5%1st Place
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10.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.9%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College0.875.3%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College-0.521.7%1st Place
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12.95University of New Hampshire-1.220.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 21.4% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 18.6% |
| Max Sigel | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Anna Olsen | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Connor Vogel | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sam Harris | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 11.3% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
| Charles Wheeler | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.