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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.73vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.72+4.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.17-0.55vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.21+3.20vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.71+0.06vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.01-1.91vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.17+3.10vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.32+2.86vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.81-4.41vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College1.73-5.09vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.56+0.29vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.06-1.97vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.09-2.86vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware0.40-5.38vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-3.50vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.25-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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3.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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8.2Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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7.06Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.09Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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12.1Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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12.86Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.59Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.91Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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13.29Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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12.03Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.14Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.88Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.7% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 15.9% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 20.4% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 8.7% |
| Samantha Gebb | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.