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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.77vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.38vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.81+2.67vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.06+6.84vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+1.02vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.01-0.94vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.17+4.05vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.56+3.47vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71-4.20vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.21-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware0.40-2.37vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College1.73-7.07vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-1.41vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.32-3.34vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.25-2.14vs Predicted
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18Monmouth University-0.09-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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3.38U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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11.84Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.02Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.06Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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12.05Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.47Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.8Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.45Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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6.93Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.66Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.86Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.13Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.5% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.2% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 20.0% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 14.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Schippe | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 39.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.