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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.78vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.81+4.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.73vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71+2.94vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.01+0.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.51vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73-0.14vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.06+3.79vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72-2.04vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.56+3.24vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware0.40-0.17vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.17+0.34vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.32-1.30vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.21-6.61vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-1.24vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-3.44vs Predicted
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18Monmouth University-0.09-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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6.52Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.94Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.97Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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6.86Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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11.79Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.96Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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13.24Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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12.34Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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12.7Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.39Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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14.76Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.14Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.7% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.9% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 20.1% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 12.5% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.4% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 39.2% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.