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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.50vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.09+9.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.24vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+1.50vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.01-0.10vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.06+4.65vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College1.73-1.58vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.25+5.85vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.21-2.05vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-0.17+1.09vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.56+1.04vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.71-6.34vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware0.40-3.59vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.31-4.43vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-2.72vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.32-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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11.7Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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2.76University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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6.5Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.9Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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11.65Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.42Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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14.85Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.95Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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12.09Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.04Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.66Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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10.57Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.48Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 19.1% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 21.3% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.9% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 42.8% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 14.4% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.