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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.09+10.50vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.62vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+3.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.17-0.73vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.46vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.21+2.11vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.01-1.21vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.31+2.44vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.32+3.67vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.06+1.59vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.72-4.32vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware0.40-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64+0.33vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-7.38vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.17-3.02vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.56-2.83vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.25-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.5Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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2.62University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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6.51Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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3.27U. S. Naval Academy3.170.2%1st Place
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3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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8.11Villanova University1.210.0%1st Place
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5.79Washington College2.010.1%1st Place
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10.44Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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12.67Columbia University-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.59Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.62Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.98Penn State University-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.17Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
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14.82Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brogan Savage | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.8% | 24.1% | 22.6% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 22.5% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 18.6% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Wiles | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Moubarek | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.